Nvidia Earnings Strengthened by Analyst Upgrades
Nvidia earnings loom Feb. 25 as analysts raise price targets and forecasts, reflecting stronger AI-chip demand and shaping expectations for the quarter.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
- Analysts raised price targets and forecasts ahead of the Feb. 25, 2026 earnings report.
- Wall Street projects $1.52 adjusted EPS, a 71.0% year-over-year increase for the quarter.
- Insiders sold about $292 million of shares in the past 90 days, signaling mixed positioning.
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Nvidia (NVDA) earnings are under scrutiny ahead of the Feb. 25, 2026, report after analysts raised price targets and forecasts this week, intensifying expectations amid sustained demand for AI chips.
Analyst Ratings, Ownership, and Insider Activity
Analyst consensus includes four Strong Buy ratings, 46 Buy, and two Hold recommendations, with an average price target of $264.20. UBS raised its target and maintained a Buy rating on Feb. 11, 2026. Institutional investors hold about 65.3% of Nvidia’s stock. In Q3 2025, Quadrant Private Wealth increased its stake by 1.0% to 293,331 shares. Insider sales have been active: Executive Vice President Ajay K. Puri sold 200,000 shares on Jan. 21, 2026, at an average of $180.04, and Chief Financial Officer Colette Kress sold 27,640 shares on Feb. 4, 2026, at $175.72. Total insider sales over the past 90 days reached 1,611,474 shares, valued at $292 million.
Earnings Estimates and Industry Context
Wall Street projects adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.52 for the upcoming quarter, a 71.0% increase from $0.89 a year earlier. The consensus for fiscal 2026 EPS stands at $2.77. In the most recent quarter ended Nov. 19, 2025, Nvidia reported EPS of $1.30, beating estimates by $0.07, and revenue of $57.0 billion, exceeding expectations and rising about 62.5% year over year. Profitability was strong, with return on equity near 99.2% and a net margin around 53.0%. The company paid a quarterly dividend of $0.01 on Dec. 26, 2025, an annualized $0.04 with a payout ratio near 1.0%.
The broader semiconductor industry outlook supports these elevated estimates. Deloitte projects global semiconductor sales of roughly $975 billion in 2026, a 26.0% increase year over year, with generative-AI chips accounting for about $500 billion, or half of the total. In December 2025, the U.S. approved limited sales of Nvidia’s H200 AI chip to selected China customers, tied to a 25.0% share of the company’s chip sales into China. This regulatory development shapes analyst assumptions and contributes to the focus on the upcoming report as a near-term catalyst.
