Palantir Earnings Lift Guidance After Army Deal

Palantir earnings show brisk growth and a raised 2025 revenue target supported by a $10.0 billion U.S. Army contract, prompting traders to watch guidance.

January 28, 2026·2 min read
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Flat vector server stack merging with circuit to suggest Palantir earnings momentum on a slate-ice gradient.

KEY TAKEAWAYS

  • Q3 revenue $1.2 billion, up 63.0% year-over-year, beat estimates.
  • Raised 2025 revenue guidance to about $4.4 billion, implying roughly 53.0% growth.
  • Secured a 10-year $10.0 billion U.S. Army contract consolidating 75 legacy agreements.

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Palantir Technologies (PLTR) reported brisk growth and raised its full-year revenue outlook, with earnings signaling stronger momentum that supported the stock despite a rich valuation. Traders are focused on the company’s upcoming Feb. 2, 2026 earnings report.

Q3 Results and Guidance

Palantir reported third-quarter 2025 revenue of $1.18 billion, a 63% increase year-over-year, beating the $1.09 billion estimate when results were released Nov. 3, 2025. Earnings per share came to $0.21, ahead of the $0.17 consensus.

GAAP net income reached $476 million, reflecting a 40% margin. Adjusted free cash flow totaled $540 million, or 46% of revenue, highlighting strong cash generation.

The company raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to about $4.4 billion, implying roughly 53% growth from 2024. Management emphasized durable demand and positioned profitability and cash flow as key drivers for investor models.

Contracts, Backlog, and Revenue Mix

In early August 2025, Palantir secured a 10-year, $10 billion U.S. Army contract that consolidates 75 legacy agreements. The company also agreed to a £1.5 billion U.K. defense deal in September and won a $30 million contract with Immigration and Customs Enforcement for a deportation system.

Total contract value (TCV) rose 151% year-over-year to $2.76 billion in Q3, including $1.31 billion from U.S. commercial clients. Remaining deal value (RDV) increased 91% to $8.6 billion, while remaining performance obligations (RPO) grew 66%, with more than 56% classified as non-current. Customer count climbed 69% to 593.

The quarter showed a heavier U.S. footprint: U.S. revenue totaled $883 million, up 77% year-over-year. U.S. commercial revenue surged 121% to $397 million, and government sales rose 52%. This mix reflects commercial expansion complementing steady government business.

Valuation and Analyst Perspectives

Eighteen analysts cover Palantir, with six rating it a Buy, ten Hold, and two Sell. Price targets range from $50 to $255, with a median near $190. Valuation multiples are high, with price-to-earnings ratios between roughly 167 and 292 and a price/earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio near 5.1. The company held $3.9 billion in cash, a factor investors consider when balancing growth prospects against valuation.

The quarter’s margin expansion, raised guidance, and large multi-year contracts enhance forward revenue visibility. These factors help explain the wide range of analyst assessments as Palantir approaches its next quarterly report.

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