Broadcom Earnings Show AI, VMware Strength
Broadcom earnings draw scrutiny as analysts raised targets and AI ASIC demand plus VMware subscriptions lift FQ4 2025 expectations and narrow surprise risk.

KEY TAKEAWAYS
- Analysts raised price targets after Dec. 4-5 coverage, lifting expectations into FQ4 2025.
- AI ASICs and XPUs are driving hardware revenue gains from hyperscaler demand.
- Operating leverage plus rising VMware subscription revenue could push EPS growth ahead of revenue.
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Broadcom earnings are the market focal point after analysts raised price targets and commentary on Dec. 4–5, 2025 highlighted accelerating AI ASIC demand, strengthening networking, and rising VMware subscription revenue, factors analysts say could push EPS growth ahead of revenue in fiscal Q4 2025.
Earnings Setup and Market Moves
Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) stock has climbed roughly 120% year-over-year, setting a high bar for the upcoming quarterly report and increasing scrutiny of the results. This rally has made the earnings release a potential catalyst for further re-rating of the shares.
Analysts raised price targets and issued bullish commentary in the days before the report, lifting expectations. Investors responded by pushing the shares nearly 3% higher in intraday trading as markets absorbed the revised outlook. This sentiment has narrowed the margin for surprises in results and guidance.
AI, Networking and VMware Drivers
Analysts identified AI application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) and specialized processors (XPUs) as the clearest hardware growth drivers. Hyperscalers’ increased spending on tailored accelerators creates a large addressable market for Broadcom’s custom silicon, forming the core of the bullish case for its chip franchises.
Networking and virtualization product lines are also expanding, broadening the company’s hardware base and supporting its role in AI infrastructure deployments. The combination of switching, interconnect, and virtualization tools complements accelerator sales.
Broadcom’s acquisition and integration of VMware Cloud Foundation have shifted more revenue onto subscription billing, increasing the software share of total sales and expanding recurring revenue through multi-year contracts. The VMware deal and its integration were completed and passed regulatory approval before this period.
Across coverage, analysts expect operating leverage to drive EPS growth faster than revenue growth in the quarter. Rising AI-related semiconductor sales and an expanding software subscription base are cited as margin and earnings drivers. Some analysts see this combination as evidence Broadcom may sustain elevated earnings growth beyond the immediate quarter.
Several commentators position Broadcom as a potential top-performing chip stock in 2026 if AI demand persists, ASIC execution succeeds, and software monetization continues to ramp. Others note open questions about the scale and durability of hyperscaler AI spending, margin effects from AI mix, VMware monetization risks, and valuation sensitivity that could affect market pricing.





